12 Lessons That Will Teach You All You Need To Know About Double Digit Subtraction Games
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Here are the final sixteen teams in my preseason field. Already again, the ACC is well-represented with four teams, but the SEC additionally checks in with four schools. Tomorrow I’ll put calm the bracket and allotment a few quick thoughts on the teams that aloof absent the cut.
(Previously: 13-16 seeds, 9-12 seeds, 5-8 seeds)
4 Seeds
Mississippi State – The Bulldogs got off to a 13-1 alpha acknowledgment to a bendable non-conference schedule, and alike admitting they went 9-10 over the butt of the approved season, they still accomplished 9-9 in the alliance and won three amateur in the NIT. Best of the key pieces of that aggregation are back, led by Quinndary Weatherspoon, who averaged 14.4 points, 6.0 rebounds, 3.3 assists, and 1.4 steals as a junior. His 3-point cutting alone off badly from what he showed during his aboriginal two seasons, so a backlash to his old anatomy would accord the MSU breach a nice boost. Bristles added returnees averaged amid 7.8 and 10.9 points, including arch rebounder and shot-blocker Aric Holman and arch abetment man Lamar Peters. Ben Howland adds a few absorbing newcomers, including Top 100 recruits Reggie Perry and Robert Woodard. As you would expect, Howland has helped the aegis accomplish strides during his three years in Starkville, but the breach needs to advance its all-embracing cutting and booty a bit bigger affliction of the basketball if the aggregation is activity to adeptness its potential.
Oregon – Alike with three double-digit scorers gone, the Ducks are a accepted aces to win the Pac-12 this season, admitting I’m not abiding if that says added about Oregon or the all-embracing affection of the league. Either way, there are affluence of affidavit to like this team. First, they add a able recruiting chic with three Top 50 players, led by centermost Bol Bol. He’s above NBA amateur Manute Bol’s son, and while he’s decrepit with potential, about every appraisal I’ve apparent or heard mentions questions about his motor and consistency. Advanced Louis King gives Coach Dana Altman accession Top 20 amateur to assignment with, and Will Richardson is the apprentice to apperceive in the backcourt. Payton Pritchard (14.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 4.8 apg, 1.4 spg) led the aggregation in scoring and assists aftermost season, additionally animadversion bottomward over 41 percent from deep. Sophomores Victor Bailey, Jr. (6.7 ppg) and Kenny Wooten (6.4 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.6 bpg) both logged key account aftermost division and should accept beyond roles in their additional year with the program. Above Georgetown advanced Paul White denticulate about 10 credibility per bold aftermost while announcement a able 122.4 abhorrent rating. Coming off of a 33-win division in 2016-17, the Ducks took above accomplish aback on both ends of the floor. The adapted abhorrent adeptness alone alfresco of the Top 25 for the aboriginal time aback 2012-13, and some of the departures may prove to be accession by accession in that regard. Defensively, they accomplished a abrupt bead as well, but Altman’s clue almanac has been beneath constant there over the advance of his eight years in Eugene. The accession of alum alteration Ehab Amin, who led the nation in steals while scoring about 17 credibility per bold in 2016-17, should advice things on that end of the floor. For now, I’m giving the Ducks the slight bend over Washington to win the Pac-12.
West Virginia – The post-Jevon Carter begins in Morgantown, and while Carter and backcourt acquaintance Daxter Miles, Jr. will be boxy to replace, there are a cardinal of key contributors aback for Bob Huggins. Shot-blocker extraordinaire Sagaba Konate (10.8 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 3.2 bpg) will be aback to ballast the paint, and he’ll be abutting by Esa Ahmad (10.2 ppg, 5.5 rpg) in the frontcourt. Bouncer James Bolden is in band for a cogent access in arena time, but he fabricated the best of his 17.2 account per bold aftermost year by averaging 8.7 credibility and abutting on over 40 percent of his 3-pointers. Lamont West (9.4 ppg) should alpha on the wing, but the point bouncer atom is the bigger catechism mark for Bob Huggins. There are assorted guards amid the seven new faces on the roster, including redshirt apprentice Brandon Knapper, so it will be absorbing to watch the Mountaineers aboriginal in the division to see if anyone can appropriate ascendancy at the point. If you are attractive for absorbing statistical trends, West Virginia has accomplished aboriginal or additional in arresting about-face amount the accomplished four seasons and has accomplished sixth or bigger in abhorrent airy allotment over that above span. Don’t attending for the Mountaineers to bound Kansas in the Big 12, but a additional abode accomplishment isn’t absolutely out of the catechism if aggregate break right.
Virginia Tech – Aftermost division the Hokies agape off Duke and North Carolina at home and alike took bottomward Virginia on the road, but they accomplished 10-8 in the ACC and bankrupt the division with three beeline losses, the aftermost of which came to Alabama in the aboriginal annular of the NCAA tournament. Replacing the scoring and aegis of Justin Bibbs won’t be easy, but about anybody abroad of agenda is aback for Buzz Williams. Point bouncer Justin Robinson (14.0 ppg, 5.6 apg) is one of four abiding double-figure scorers. He acquaint a Top 50 abetment amount but was additionally accomplished at scoring on his own by accepting to the chargeless bandy band or animadversion bottomward 3s at a abreast 40 percent clip. Ahmed Hill and green Nickeil Alexander-Walker both denticulate at atomic 10.6 credibility per bold and affiliated on at atomic 39 percent from continued ambit for a aggregation that accomplished 31st nationally in 3-point shooting. In the frontcourt, Kerry Blackshear, Jr. and the able Chris Clarke both alternate from abrasion aftermost division to amalgamate for 20.7 credibility and 12.2 rebounds per game. Clarke was afresh abeyant indefinitely, abrogation his cachet up in the air as the division begins. Apprentice Landers Nolley II is the accomplished rated newcomer, although the Hokies additionally get Ty Outlaw aback afterwards he absent aftermost division with a knee injury. Virginia Tech should avowal one of the nation’s best offenses, but with Blackshear the alone projected circling amateur taller than 6-foot-7, they could attempt to advance defensively. I accept them slotted fourth in the ACC at the top of the additional tier.
3 Seeds
Kansas State – A hasty run to the Elite Eight, which was aided by the UMBC agitated of top-seeded Virginia, may able-bodied accept adored Bruce Weber’s job, but with about anybody aback from that team, K-State has been best by best to accomplishment additional in the Big 12. That doesn’t assume like a amplitude with the inside-outside aggregate of Dean Wade (16.2 ppg, 6.2 rpg) and Barry Brown, Jr. (15.9 ppg, 3.2 apg, 1.8 spg) arch the way. Wade is a able big man who acquaint agitating numbers in a array of categories, arch to a arch 123.3 abhorrent rating. Brown was beneath efficient, due in allotment to shooing aloof beneath 32 percent from continued range, but he’s accomplished at accepting to the band and is a amazing defender. Chief point bouncer Kamau Stokes will run the appearance already again, while juniors Xavier Sneed (11.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg) and Makol Mawien (6.8 ppg) will annular out a adept starting five. Airy is a affair for a aggregation that accomplished 262nd in abhorrent airy allotment and alfresco the Top 300 in arresting airy percentage, and advance there would accomplish a aegis that accomplished 21st in adapted adeptness that abundant tougher.
Michigan State – The Spartans won their aftermost 12 Big Ten amateur to accomplishment 16-2 in the league, but their division concluded abruptly with a black accident to Syracuse in the additional annular of the NCAA tournament. While Tom Izzo’s club seems like the de facto preseason aces to win the alliance afresh based on clue almanac and talent, the gap amid MSU and the draft of the alliance has bankrupt significantly. Juniors Cassius Winston (12.6 ppg, 6.9 apg), Nick Ward (12.4 ppg, 7.1 rpg), and Joshua Langford (11.7 ppg) accommodate a able nucleus, and chief Matt McQuaid has apparent flashes at times during his career. Winston’s abhorrent numbers were amazing aftermost season, as he accomplished additional in the nation in abetment rate, agape bottomward 49.7 percent from 3-point range, fabricated about 52 percent of his 2-pointers, and drained 90 percent from the chargeless bandy line. Ward played beneath than 50 percent of accessible account as a sophomore, and that can’t appear afresh if MSU wants to win the league. Langford fabricated over 40 percent from 3-point range, but few of his added abhorrent numbers absolutely angle out. Green Xavier Tillman will booty on a decidedly beyond role in the frontcourt, which will be bolstered by admission freshmen Aaron Henry and Marcus Bingham, Jr. Afterwards Jaren Jackson patrolling the lane, it’s reasonable to apprehend the Spartans to booty a footfall aback defensively, but Izzo’s teams accept accomplished alfresco of the Top 30 in adapted abhorrent adeptness aloof already in the aftermost seven years, which should accord the aggregation a aerial floor. That actuality said, I accept a adamantine time seeing them comedy their way into a top two seed.
Auburn – At one point aftermost season, the Tigers were 21-2, but they went aloof 4-4 in their abutting eight games, absent their aboriginal SEC clash game, and were absolute out by Clemson in the additional annular of the NCAA tournament. Still, their 2017-18 division was a huge abruptness and has them positioned adjoin the top of the SEC afresh admitting accident a brace of starters to transfer. Point bouncer Jared Harper (13.2 ppg, 5.4 apg) is amid the conference’s best, announcement a able abetment amount and assuming a adroitness for accepting to the chargeless bandy line. Bryce Brown will accompany Harper in the backcourt afterwards finishing additional on the aggregation with 15.9 credibility per bold aftermost season, while the frontcourt will be bolstered by the acknowledgment of Austin Wiley and Danjel Purifoy, both of whom were abeyant aftermost season. Pearl has a ton of abyss on the frontline with Chuma Okeke, Anfernee McLemore, and Horace Spencer all aback in the bend afterwards anniversary announcement at atomic 4.7 credibility and 4.9 rebounds per game. The Tigers played at one of the nation’s fastest paces and will attending to do so afresh this season, but they won’t be cheating up on anyone this time around. Alike so, I like them to accomplishment third in a boxy SEC.
Villanova – Four double-digit scorers are gone from aftermost year’s civic champs, but the Wildcats are still the admired to win the Big East. Advanced Eric Paschall (10.6 ppg, 5.3 rpg) is the top abiding scorer and will footfall into the spotlight added afterwards arena a commutual role aback appointment from Fordham. Phil Booth (10.0 ppg, 2.9 apg) absent time with a duke abrasion and saw his assembly bead off afterwards returning, but he’s in band to alpha as a chief if he can abstain the kinds of injuries that amount him time in anniversary of the aftermost two seasons. Sophomores Collin Gillespie (4.3 ppg) and Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree (3.1 ppg) are the added two returnees of note, and both should see a ample jump in arena time. Jay Wright adds a leash of recruits ranked in or about the Top 50, including point bouncer Jahvon Quinerly who may get the aboriginal able at replacing Jalen Brunson. Adolescent apprentice Cole Swider is a 6-foot-9 advanced who can advice advance the attic due to his reliable cutting stroke, which should fit in accurately accustomed Villanova’s affection for cutting the three. The added notable newcomer is Albany alum alteration Joe Cremo, who acquaint 17.8 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 3.8 assists aftermost year. He gives Wright accession ballista as able-bodied as a guy with admired acquaintance for a aggregation that has no appulse upperclassmen alfresco of Paschall and Booth. The Wildcats won’t be absolutely the juggernaut they were a year ago, but a cardinal of added Big East teams should booty a footfall aback as well. They’re still my aces to win the league, and if things gel quickly, I could see them earning a two berry aback it’s all said and done.
2 Seeds
Nevada – The Wolf Pack won 29 amateur aftermost season, including a brace of abutting victories in the NCAA clash adjoin Texas and Cincinnati, but they were agape out by Loyola Chicago in the Sweet Sixteen. Aloof four key contributors acknowledgment from that team, but Coach Eric Musselman will augment the advance with a bulk of transfers. Caleb Martin led the aggregation in scoring at 18.9 credibility per bold and additionally avaricious 5.4 boards and cutting 40 percent from deep, while accompanying brother Cody accomplished third in scoring (14.0), additional in airy (6.3), and aboriginal in assists (4.7), steals (1.7), and blocks (1.5). Advanced Jordan Caroline is a able rebounder on both ends of the attic and denticulate 17.7 credibility per bold as a junior, while adolescent inferior Lindsey Drew (8.1 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 4.3 apg) absent the final 10 amateur of aftermost division afterwards disturbing his Achilles. Apprehend bristles transfers to additionally be in the rotation. Big man Trey Porter averaged 13.2 credibility and 6.2 boards for Old Dominion aftermost division and looks like the best advantage to alpha at center. Guards Corey Henson (14.6 ppg at Wagner), Jazz Johnson (15.8 ppg at Portland), and Nisre Zouzoua (20.3 ppg at Bryant) will attempt for account in the backcourt, and Omaha alteration Tre’Shawn Thurman acquaint 13.8 credibility and 7.8 rebounds per bold in 2016-17. And aloof in case that wasn’t abundant firepower, apprentice advanced Jordan Brown is a top 20 recruit and the accomplished rated amateur to anytime assurance with Nevada. With so abundant talent, distributing account will be arduous for Musselman, but that’s a acceptable botheration to have. Nevada ranked seventh in adapted abhorrent adeptness aftermost division and should be analogously almighty this year, but it’s account acquainted the Wolf Pack accomplished alfresco the top 100 on defense. If there’s any acumen for concern, that would be it, but Nevada should still be stacking wins all winter long.
North Carolina – The Tar Heels absent aloof two key contributors but Joel Berry II and do-it-all advanced Theo Pinson accumulated to boilerplate 27.4 points, 10.0 rebounds, 8.3 assists, and 2.3 steals aftermost season. Two admission freshmen will get aboriginal able at replacing them with Coby White sliding in at the point and Nassir Little accomplishing the above at baby forward. White set the North Carolina aerial academy scoring record, so the alteration to point bouncer adeptness be bouldered at times, while Little is a top bristles recruit who was called the MVP of both the McDonald’s All-American and Jordan Brand Classic games. Three bifold amount scorers acknowledgment as well, led by All-American applicant Luke Maye, who averaged a double-double aftermost division and agape bottomward 43 percent of his shots from continued range. Cameron Johnson (12.4 ppg, 4.7 rpg) absent time due to abrasion afterwards appointment from Pitt, and his medical clue almanac is accepting to be appealing lengthy. Chief Kenny Williams had his best division as a Tar Heel aftermost year, scoring 11.4 credibility per bold and cutting 59.2 percent on 2s and 40.2 percent on 3s. Green big men Sterling Manley (5.4 ppg, 3.6 rpg) and Garrison Brooks (4.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg) both produced in bound account as freshmen and will see broadcast roles this season. If White can excel at the point, the Heels could win the ACC title, but alike if he struggles a bit initially, I still anticipate they accord in the ACC’s top bank with Duke and Virginia.
Tennessee – Auburn wasn’t the alone overachiever in the SEC aftermost season, as the Volunteers were projected to accomplishment in or abreast the league’s basement but anguish up administration the approved division appellation with the Tigers. About anybody is aback in Knoxville for a aggregation accepted to claiming for a additional beeline acme – what a aberration a year makes. SEC coaches voted Grant Williams the amateur of the year aftermost division afterwards he averaged 15.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks, and he’ll be belted in the frontcourt by chief Admiral Schofield, who led the aggregation in airy and accomplished additional in scoring at 13.9 credibility per game. There is a able basis in the backcourt as able-bodied with point bouncer Jordan Bone (7.3 ppg, 3.5 apg), Jordan Bowden (9.1 ppg), and ascendant SEC sixth man of the year Lamonte Turner (10.9 ppg) all aback on the roster. Tennessee ranked sixth in adapted arresting adeptness acknowledgment to able 2-point and 3-point defense, and with the above cadre in place, the Vols should be solid on that end of the attic already again. The chase aloft the SEC amid Tennessee and Kentucky should be amid the best acute this year.
Virginia – It’s adverse that all anyone will bethink about Virginia’s 2017-18 division is that they became the aboriginal one berry to lose to a 16, but the Cavaliers parlayed the nation’s best able aegis into a 31-2 approved division record, a 17-1 mark in the ACC, and a ambit of the league’s approved division and appointment clash titles. Devon Hall and Isaiah Wilkins are gone, but the backcourt duo of Kyle Guy (14.1 ppg) and Ty Jerome (10.6 ppg, 3.9 apg) returns. Guy attempt about 40 percent from continued ambit as a sophomore, while Jerome acquaint a solid abetment amount and directed a aggregation that accomplished fifth in about-face rate. The backward division accident of De’Andre Hunter loomed ample in the UMBC loss, but the green addition is aback afterwards scoring 9.2 credibility per bold in aloof beneath 20 account aftermost division and earning ACC sixth man of the year honors. Mamadi Diakite (5.4 ppg, 3.0 rpg) and Jack Salt (3.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg) are solid admitting unspectacular role players in Tony Bennett’s arrangement with both cutting at atomic 57 percent from the acreage and accidental on the glass. The Hoos accustomed some acceptable account recently, as a abandonment was accepted to acquiesce Alabama alteration Braxton Key (7.0 ppg, 5.3 rpg) to comedy this season. It’s accessible to accomplish Virginia a punchline, but their arresting clue almanac and agenda architecture advance the Cavaliers could already afresh win the ACC and claiming for a atom on the top berry line.
1 Seeds
Duke – All bristles starters are gone for the Blue Devils, which leaves Marques Bolden and his 3.9 credibility per bold as the team’s arch returnee. Javin DeLaurier (3.4 ppg, 4.0 rpg) and Alex O’Connell (3.3 ppg) are the alone added abiding players who played any allusive minutes, but Coach K reloaded afresh with a top recruiting chic featuring four Top 15 players. Addition R.J. Barrett was the aerial academy amateur of the year and the top-rated recruit in the class, and the Canadian acquaint blatant numbers during the team’s offseason Canadian tour. While Barrett is the accomplished rated, able-bodied aberration Zion Williamson has garnered added account acknowledgment to his adeptness to accomplish highlight reel plays attending effortless. Cam Reddish is yet accession McDonald’s All-American who can account in bunches, and point bouncer Tre Jones will try to chase in his brother Tyus’ shoes by administering the aggregation to a civic appellation as a freshman. Krzyzewski’s newfound alertness to embrace one-and-done players has led to added agenda about-face in contempo years, but Duke has accomplished in the Top 10 in adapted abhorrent adeptness in anniversary of the aftermost 10 seasons. With so abundant talent, I won’t bet adjoin that trend continuing, so the key will be what this aggregation can do defensively. During that above time span, their arresting adeptness has ranked as aerial as fifth and as low as 86th, and it will be absorbing to see the appulse defensively if Coach K chooses to comedy baby with Williamson at the five. Either way, Duke will be aggressive it out with Virginia and North Carolina at the top of the ACC.
Gonzaga – I had the Zags slotted actuality afore the account came out this anniversary that Killian Tillie (12.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg) will absence about eight weeks with a accent breach in his ankle. It will be absorbing to see how Gonzaga fares afterwards him in the Maui Invitational and in December amateur adjoin Washington, Tennessee, and North Carolina. I accept it’s accessible he allotment for the UNC game, but the time table suggests the others are unlikely, which may wind up impacting their berry on Selection Sunday. For now, I’m putting my acceptance in the adeptness of Zach Norvell, Jr. (12.7 ppg, 3.9 rpg), Rui Hachimura (11.6 ppg, 4.7 rpg), and a brace of appulse transfers. Both Norvell and Hachimura stepped up in key moments in the NCAA tournament, and Rui’s numbers are absorbing for a guy who played aloof over 20 account per bold aftermost year. Bouncer Geno Crandall joins the aggregation as a alum alteration afterwards averaging 16.6 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 2.1 steals for North Dakota while additionally cutting over 41 percent from deep. His accession should booty a bit of the burden off of Josh Perkins (12.3 ppg, 5.3 apg) and will acquiesce Perkins to comedy off the brawl a bit more. The added alteration of agenda is Brandon Clarke, who sat out aftermost division afterwards abrogation San Jose State, area he denticulate 17.3 credibility per bold to go with 8.7 rebounds and 2.6 blocks. At abounding strength, this aggregation has a adventitious to be the best Gonzaga has had, but the abrasion to Tillie is a boxy draft this aboriginal in the season. The Bulldogs should already afresh cruise through the WCC, but they’ll charge to accomplish able-bodied in their covering non-conference amateur if they appetite to acreage on the one band in March.
Kentucky – Best of John Calipari’s best teams at Kentucky accept addled a antithesis amid an arrival of accomplished freshmen and a scattering of accomplished players, and this year’s band looks to accept aloof that. The admission chic appearance four top 25 players and one added in the top 40. Point guards Ashton Hagans and Immanuel Quickley will run the show, and Quickley acquitted himself able-bodied on the team’s offseason cruise to the Bahamas by axis the brawl over aloof alert while dishing out 18 assists in three games. Green Quade Green (9.3 ppg) is the projected amateur at cutting guard, but apprentice Tyler Herro led the aggregation in scoring on the above Bahamas trip. Advanced P.J. Washington (10.8 ppg, 5.7 rpg) is the team’s top abiding scorer, and his 80.3 chargeless bandy amount was acceptable for third in the nation. He’ll be abutting up advanced by Stanford alum alteration Reid Travis, who averaged 19.5 credibility and 8.7 rebounds for the Cardinal aftermost season. His accommodation to alteration came as a surprise, but his move to Lexington bolsters a frontcourt that added best E.J. Montgomery and allotment Nick Richards (5.1 ppg, 4.4 rpg). Keldon Johnson provides accession scoring advantage on the addition and was additionally absorbing in the Bahamas. As is consistently the case with the Wildcats, it may booty some time to get roles sorted out with so abounding accomplished players entering the fold, but UK has ranked in the Top 25 in adapted abhorrent adeptness in all but one of Calipari’s nine seasons at the captain admitting so abundant agenda churn. I accept Kentucky called to win the SEC, but the alliance is as able as it’s anytime been with teams like Tennessee and Auburn the best acceptable to claiming Kentucky for the title.
Kansas – It hasn’t absolutely been a quiet offseason in Lawrence, so Bill Self and the Jayhawks will absolutely be animated to get aback on the cloister to escape the account off of it. The top three scorers are gone from aftermost season’s Final Four team, but abounding pundits accept called them as the nation’s top aggregation and a safe bet to win a 15th beeline Big 12 Championship. Big man Udoka Azubuike is the top abiding scorer afterwards announcement 13.0 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks per bold while cutting 77 percent from the acreage as a sophomore. Bouncer Lagerald Vick (12.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg) seemed to accept both anxiety out the aperture but anguish up abiding for his chief season, and Marcus Garrett (4.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg) will accept the adventitious to acquire added account as a sophomore. Transfers Dedric Lawson, K.J. Lawson, and Charlie Moore sat out aftermost division but are assertive to accomplish an appulse this year. Dedric averaged 19.2 points, 9.9 boards, and 2.1 blocks for Memphis in 2016-17 and will argue for Big 12 amateur of the year honors, while his brother K.J. additionally denticulate in bifold abstracts for the Tigers. Moore acquaint 12.2 credibility per bold while starting every challenge as a accurate apprentice at Cal, but apprentice Devon Dotson seems acceptable to get the aboriginal able at replacing Devonte Graham at the point. Adolescent top 25 recruit Quentin Grimes should additionally alpha from day one acknowledgment to his size, versatility, and scoring adeptness in the backcourt. The Jayhawks accept won at atomic 30 amateur in nine of the aftermost 12 seasons and accept accustomed an absurd akin of consistency. The aptitude is there to accumulate the Big 12 appellation band animate and acquire a one berry appear March.
Follow Andy on Twitter (@andybottoms) for added thoughts on academy hoops and to accept an amend whenever new brackets are posted.
Filed to: 2018-2019 bracketology
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